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US smartphone market study predicts a good year for Android

They say you shouldn’t count your chickens before they hatch, but according to a market survey Android has laid a lot of eggs in North America. The total number of smartphone shipments will rise by 38% compared to last year for a total of 65.1 million units.

Here’s the breakdown – RIM is still king of the hill with 43% estimated market share for 2010. They lose 6.2% market share but due to the increase in total smartphones shipped, they will still get a 5.8 million increase in units shipped.

Apple comes in second on the smartphne market, and similarly to BlackBerry, it’s to expect a decrease in market share but a modes increase in units shipped.

BlackBerry OS, Apple OS and Android OS combined account for a total of 80% of the total smartphone market in the US (sorry, Microsoft).

Android is predicted to have an explosive growth, putting it a close third behind Apple’s OS – 18.9% market share compared to last year’s 9.7%. That’s nearly a double.

The number of Android smartphones shipped will be 12.3 million, compared to Apple’s 13.8 million. Of course, many manufacturers are offering Android phones and only Apple sells iPhone’s but still – it’s a commendable achievement for the OS nonetheless.

If these numbers pan out, the number of Android phones sold will be more than that of Microsoft, Palm and Symbian combined (again, this is about North America only, not the whole world). The Microsoft OS is also the only one expected to have negative growth in sales (and we can see why).

The survey also mentions the increased strain the increasing number smartphones will put on mobile networks. This will push vendors to make phones more efficient in their data usage – a field in which BlackBerry is apparently the leader.

The situation in South America is a little different – the market has declined by 11% last year, but is expected to bounce back. Symbian was the leading OS (42%) followed by RIM (28%).

We can feel the Android wave sweeping our office too. We’ve been on an Android diet for almost a month now, and we have a few more Android phone reviews in the pipeline as well. So the review portion of our homepage is bound to get all Androidish quite soon.

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Welcome to 4G

So what is 4G?

To start, think of wireless technology as a family that gets faster with each generation. Second-generation (2G) networks were faster than the original first-generation wireless technology; third-generation (3G) is faster than 2G; and 4G is faster than 3G. Speed is important for data transmission (not so much for voice) because a faster network lets you do more with your phone. The 3G networks that we use today allow us to stream video, download music tracks and other large files, and surf the Web on full HTML browsers. Think of it like moving from a dial-up Internet connection to cable or DSL–suddenly you could do more with your computer and do it faster.

That’s why it’s easiest to think of 4G not in terms of what it is, but rather in terms of what it can do. While 3G offers data speeds of about 1.5 to 2 megabits per second (Mbps), 4G will double that–and it could go even faster. It’s important to remember, however, that promises are just that. As any iPhone user can tell you, 3G speeds can vary widely in everyday use, so 4G performance won’t always be perfect.

Types of 4G

Just as there are different types of 3G (EV-DO, UMTS, and HSDPA) there are two main types of 4G. I’ll tell you the basics, but before we start it’s important to note that 4G more or less marks the end of the traditional CDMA/GSM divide. Carriers can choose which technology they’re going to employ–they aren’t limited by what they’re using now. That’s why you’ll get Verizon Wireless and AT&T both choosing the same 4G solution. They won’t necessarily be interoperable, but they will be similar.

LTE

LTE, aka long-term evolution, is the natural outgrowth of current 3G technologies. As it has an all-IP architecture, it treats everything it transmits, even voice, as data. Verizon Wireless and AT&T have chosen LTE, and it’s expected that T-Mobile will go that way as well. At the time of this writing, no commercial LTE devices are available in the US market, though we expect to see announcements later this month at the annual CTIA show in Las Vegas.

Verizon said last week that LTE testing in Seattle and Boston has gone well and that it will bring the technology to 25 to 30 markets this year. According to the carrier, its network is capable of download speeds of 40Mbps to 50Mbps and upload speeds of 20Mbps to 25Mbps. Average speeds, however, will more likely range from 5Mbps to 12Mbps for downloads and 2Mbps to 5Mbps for uploads.

In contrast, AT&T is a bit further behind. The carrier announced in February that it will begin LTE testing later this year and will deploy commercial networks in 2011. So, at least for the time being, don’t get your hopes up that a 4G-capable iPhone will arrive at AT&T this summer. T-Mobile will be playing catch up for some time, too. Last month at the Mobile World Congress, T-Mobile CTO Cole Brodman said the carrier will expand its HSPA+ network to more US cities this year. Though Brodman billed it as 4G technology, HSPA+ is an advanced 3G technology.

In Asia Pacific, Singapore telco MobileOne (M1) conducted a demo of its LTE technical trial on March 3. According to M1′s chief technical officer Patrick Scodeller, the company will start installing base stations in about 1,400 locations across the island some time in October this year. The full works should be completed by Q1 2011.

Singapore telco SingTel announced in November last year that it will carry out LTE trials in the first half of 2010 in Australia, Indonesia, the Philippines and Singapore in collaboration with Optus, Globe Telecom and Telkomsel. In Singapore, this will begin end-March. The telco will be doing a live demostration of mobile applications and services on LTE tomorrow on March 15.

In the region, NTT DoCoMo will be among the first to launch LTE commercially in Japan this year.

WiMax

In contrast to LTE, WiMax, which stands for Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access, isn’t an evolution of current cellular systems. Rather, it’s more related to current Wi-Fi technology. The initial version for mobile use is based on the 802.16e wireless standard (Wi-Fi is 802.110). It has potential for very long range transmission (up to 30 miles) and could offer speeds of about 10Mbps.

Sprint is the only US carrier to adopt WiMax, but for now the carrier’s network is more widely available than LTE. Sprint and Clearwire have a WiMax network in 27 cities with at least eight more slated for the first half of this year. Sprint is promising average speeds of 3Mbps to 6Mbps with peak speeds up to 10Mbps. The carrier also has no 4G phones for now, but it introduced a WiMax-capable router last January at CES. And we expect to see it roll out some real 4G phones at CTIA.

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FAQ: Using your smartphone safely

What’s the biggest security threat to my mobile phone?

Losing it.

“You are way more likely to leave it in the back of a taxi than to have someone break into it,” Charlie Miller, a principal analyst at consultancy Independent Security Evaluators, said in a recent interview. The best way to protect data in the event of losing a device is to not store sensitive information on it, he said. If you must store sensitive information on it, use a password on the phone and encrypt the data. Devices can be configured so that they ask for a password every time email or a VPN is accessed. Use a strong enough password that a stranger can’t guess it. And back up your data frequently.

There are also ways to lock the phone remotely or wipe the data if it is stolen. AT&T spokesman Mark Siegel said users who lose their phone should call the company immediately and “with just a keystroke, we can prevent anyone else from using the phone–and from running up charges.”

A number of companies offer software and services to protect mobile phones. One of them is a start-up called Lookout that offers a Web-based service that backs up the data, remotely wipes the data if stolen, can help locate the device, and includes antivirus and firewall protection.

Mobile device users should also be careful about leaving the phone unattended, or loaning it to people. Spyware can be installed without you knowing it if someone has physical access to the device and knows your password if you have one set. For instance, the PhoneSnoop program can be used with BlackBerry devices to remotely turn the microphone on to eavesdrop on nearby conversations. However, a spokesperson for BlackBerry maker RIM points out that if the application is installed, the user would be able to see it running and could then remove it.

Can mobile phones get viruses?

Yes.

Mobile viruses, worms and Trojans have been around for years. They typically arrive via email but can also spread via SMS and other means. Mobile phone users should be diligent in installing security software and other updates for their devices. All the major desktop security vendors have mobile antivirus and related offerings.

In November, several worms hit the iPhone, but only devices that had been jailbroken so they can run apps other than those approved by Apple. One worm changes the wallpaper on affected devices to a photo of 80s pop singer Rick Astley of “Rickrolling” fame. The second, more dangerous worm attempts to remotely control affected iPhones and steal data such as bank login IDs. Jailbroken iPhones have also been directly hacked via SMS, including by one Dutch hacker who was demanding US$7 from victims for information on how to secure their iPhones.

Miller says: “Don’t jailbreak your phone. It breaks all the security, basically.” If you simply must jailbreak it, you should change the default root password and not install SSH (Secure Shell network protocol).

What are other types of attacks?

Just like with computer users, smartphone users are vulnerable to email and Web-based attacks like phishing and other social-engineering efforts. All attackers have to do is create a malicious Web page and lure someone to visit the site where malware can then be downloaded onto the mobile device. People should avoid clicking on links in emails and text messages on their mobile device. (For more anti-phishing tips read “FAQ: Recognizing phishing emails.”)

SMS offers another avenue for attack. Last year, researchers demonstrated several ways of attacking phone using SMS messages. In one, they exploited a vulnerability in the way the iPhone handles SMS messages. Researchers also showed how an attacker could spoof an SMS to make it look like it comes from the carrier to get the target to either download malware or visit a site hosting it. In another proof-of-concept attack, a text message was used to launch a Web browser on a mobile device and direct it to a site that could host malware. When the attack is used to phish for personal information it is referred to as “SMiShing.”

Is it safe to use Wi-Fi and Bluetooth?

Yes and no.

If you are doing something sensitive on your phone, like checking a bank account or making a payment, don’t use the free Wi-Fi at a coffee shop or other access point. Use your password-protected Wi-Fi at home or the cellular network to avoid what is called as a man-in-the-middle attack in which traffic is intercepted. Pairing a mobile phone with another Bluetooth-enabled device, like a headset, means any device that can “discover” another Bluetooth device can send unsolicited messages or do things that could lead to extra fees, data being compromised or corrupted, data stolen in an attack called “bluesnarfing,” or the device being infected with a virus. In general, disable Wi-Fi and Bluetooth unless you absolutely need to use them.

Which is safer: The iPhone or Android?

Apple vets all the apps that are used on the iPhone, and that tight regulation of the Apps store has kept users safe from malicious apps so far. Nothing is foolproof, however. Once apps are approved they can do any number of things. For instance, Apple removed free games in November developed by Storm8 that were found to be collecting users’ phone numbers.

From an architecture standpoint, Android offers more granular access control. But the open-source nature of the Android platform means apps aren’t as controlled as they are on the iPhone and holes can be introduced by any number of parties. For instance, Miller found a vulnerability in the Android mobile platform last year that could have allowed an attacker to remotely take control of the browser, access credentials, and install a keystroke logger if the user visited a malicious Web page. The hole was not in code written by Google, but was contributed by a third party to the open-source Android Project. However, any risk was mitigated by an application sandboxing technique Google uses that is designed to protect the device from unauthorized or malicious software that gets onto the phone, Google said. Miller recommends that Android users only download software from trustworthy vendors and reputable sites.

Are standard mobile phones safe?

Obviously regular mobile phones don’t pose the Web-based threats that smartphones do. But they are still used to store sensitive information that can be accessed by gaining access to the device. For instance, the inbox and outbox for text messages can contain information that can be used for identity fraud, said Mark Beccue, a senior analyst for consumer mobility at ABI Research. “Regardless of what type of cell phone, the most dangerous current threat is through a cellphone’s in/out message boxes,” he said. “Clear (them) out regularly. Do not transmit full account numbers, PIN or passwords within a text message unless you immediately delete the out box message.”

Standard phones that support Java can be susceptible to certain threats that smartphones are. For instance, scammers in Russia and Indonesia are hiding a Trojan in pirated software that surreptitiously sends SMS messages to premium rate numbers – costing as much as US$5 each, thus racking up huge bills, said Roel Schouwenberg, a senior antivirus researcher at Kaspersky Lab.

And what about spam?

That’s a growing problem on mobile devices. For information on what to do when you get mobile spam read “FAQ: How to vanquish mobile spam.”

This story was orginally published on InSecurity Complex on CNET News.

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Samsung App Store

Samsung will be launching the developer’s backend of their Application Store tomorrow. By using the new Application Seller website, developers will be able to publish apps or content to Samsung Application store (Symbian, Windows Mobile and Java) as well as track sales records, revenue and even rankings. Billing and payment are also handled online through the new Application Seller website.

The Samsung Seller Site (not up yet) is the next step in the Samsung efforts in streamlining the apps and content delivery to end users. The Samsung Mobile Innovator has been up for more than half an year supporting developer’s efforts. Samsung even launched a beta version of their Application Store in English and German earlier this year. The fully-fledged Samsung App store however will start spawning in regional versions across Europe in Q3 this year.

Registering on the new website is available after a basic entry fee of only one US dollar. The Seller Site members will be able to purchase a sales contract online and check the certification status in real-time.

samsung app store

These days almost every major manufacturer has an App Store running. There are so many, that having one will no longer give any manufacturer an edge but it will sure bring them up to the standard set by the competition. The Apple AppStore has been faring quite well and the massive amounts of new apps and games surely make the Apple iPhone quite an attractive platform despite its flaws.

In Samsung’s case they’ve waited quite some time before they started their own apps distribution initiative probably to stay away of what has traditionally been a network carriers business. And as you probably know, network carriers are the largest customers of mobile phone manufacturers. But times are changing and so are the rules of the game obviously.

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